Bitcoin is trading inside the STH‑MVRV profitability corridor and could reach $130K if current buying pressure and short‑term holder behavior persist. CryptoQuant’s STH‑MVRV shows the corridor’s +1σ resistance around $130K, marking a likely zone for profit-taking and measured upside. Bitcoin holds above average realized price since early 2024, indicating sustained buying support and resilient market sentiment. CryptoQuant’s STH‑MVRV places the corridor’s upper boundary near $130K, identifying a defined resistance and profit‑taking zone for short‑term holders. Rapid recoveries after minor declines show consistent demand; short‑term metrics and realized price levels support gradual upside potential. Bitcoin $130K outlook: Bitcoin holds in the STH‑MVRV corridor with buying pressure supporting a possible rise to $130K. Read concise analysis and key takeaways. { "@context": "https://schema.org", "@type": "NewsArticle", "mainEntityOfPage": { "@type": "WebPage", "@id": "https://en.coinotag.com/article/bitcoin-130k-sth-mvrv" }, "headline": "Bitcoin in Equilibrium — STH‑MVRV Signals Potential Move to $130K", "description": "Bitcoin holds in the STH‑MVRV corridor with buying pressure supporting a possible rise to $130K. Analysis of short‑term holder metrics suggests a defined resistance near $130K.", "image": [ "https://en.coinotag.com/images/bitcoin-130k.jpg" ], "author": { "@type": "Organization", "name": "COINOTAG", "url": "https://en.coinotag.com" }, "publisher": { "@type": "Organization", "name": "COINOTAG", "logo": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://en.coinotag.com/logo.png" } }, "datePublished": "2025-10-02T08:00:00Z", "dateModified": "2025-10-02T12:00:00Z"} { "@context": "https://schema.org", "@type": "FAQPage", "mainEntity": [ { "@type": "Question", "name": "What is the STH‑MVRV corridor and why does it matter to Bitcoin price?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "The STH‑MVRV corridor measures short‑term holder profitability and highlights typical buy/sell zones. It matters because its +1σ level often marks where short‑term holders lock profits, creating resistance that can influence near‑term Bitcoin moves." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "Could Bitcoin realistically reach $130K soon?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "Bitcoin could move toward $130K if current buying pressure and market structure persist, but the corridor’s upper boundary near $130K is also a likely profit‑taking zone that may limit rapid advances." } } ]} { "@context": "https://schema.org", "@type": "HowTo", "name": "How to interpret STH‑MVRV signals for Bitcoin price targets", "description": "Simple steps to read STH‑MVRV metrics and assess upside potential toward $130K.", "image": "https://en.coinotag.com/images/bitcoin-130k.jpg", "totalTime": "PT10M", "step": [ { "@type": "HowToStep", "position": 1, "name": "Identify current position within the corridor", "text": "Check if Bitcoin is near baseline, support, or the +1σ resistance; being above average realized price signals buyer dominance." }, { "@type": "HowToStep", "position": 2, "name": "Measure short‑term holder profitability", "text": "Use STH‑MVRV to see where short‑term holders are in profit; elevated profitability often precedes profit‑taking." }, { "@type": "HowToStep", "position": 3, "name": "Assess buying pressure on dips", "text": "Observe whether dips are met with strong buy volume; persistent absorption of declines supports gradual upward moves." }, { "@type": "HowToStep", "position": 4, "name": "Watch the +1σ level near $130K", "text": "Treat the +1σ as a defined resistance zone and plan for potential consolidation or increased selling at that level." } ]} Bitcoin maintains equilibrium within the STH‑MVRV corridor, as CryptoQuant analysis suggests a potential upward move toward $130K. Bitcoin has remained above the average realized level since early 2024, reflecting consistent strength and positive sentiment in trading conditions. CryptoQuant analysis shows Bitcoin’s upper boundary at $130K within the short‑term holder profitability corridor, suggesting a defined resistance zone ahead. Rapid recovery from minor declines keeps Bitcoin stable, as buying pressure absorbs dips and maintains a healthy market structure with growth potential. Summary: Bitcoin is currently positioned in a stable range, with steady market behavior suggesting potential movement toward $130K if present conditions continue. The cryptocurrency remains supported by healthy buying activity and consistent trading patterns, reflecting investor confidence. What does short‑term holder (STH‑MVRV) data say about Bitcoin? STH‑MVRV shows short‑term holder profitability and helps identify buy/sell zones. CryptoQuant’s analysis places the corridor’s +1σ resistance near $130K, indicating where short‑term holders typically realize gains and create selling pressure. How is Bitcoin’s market balance reflected in short‑term holder metrics? CryptoQuant analyst AxelAdlerJr explains that Bitcoin’s current dynamics align with the STH‑MVRV corridor, a measure of recent buyer profitability. The corridor highlights concentration points for buying and selling, helping traders and analysts anticipate likely resistance. Bitcoin in Equilibrium With Growth Potential to $130K “The upper boundary of this range (+1σ) currently runs around $130K and serves as a zone where short‑term holders more actively lock in profits.” – By @AxelAdlerJr pic.twitter.com/m1oJh4tj7U — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) October 2, 2025 The analysis indicates that the corridor’s +1σ currently runs near $130K. At this level, short‑term holders are more inclined to secure profits, establishing a natural zone of selling pressure that could cap rapid advances. Since early 2024, Bitcoin has remained above its average realized price level. That persistent positioning points to resilient market sentiment and sustained buyer support, which bolsters a bullish structural outlook when combined with quick recoveries on dips. How does market structure support potential growth toward $130K? The market structure shows equilibrium within a defined volatility corridor. Quick recoveries from brief declines and consistent buying pressure suggest the market is absorbing downward moves and maintaining an overall positive trajectory. AxelAdlerJr notes that this healthy structure confirms ongoing demand among participants. Each temporary dip has been met with sufficient buying, preventing extended drawdowns and supporting the case for gradual upside movement. Why is $130K considered a profit‑taking zone? Historical short‑term holder behavior shows that elevated profitability often triggers locking in gains. CryptoQuant’s research identifies higher thresholds where selling increases, making the +1σ zone a likely resistance point around $130K. Bitcoin’s ability to stay above its average realized level gives analysts confidence in its strength. If current conditions persist, the corridor’s upper boundary could act both as a target and a trigger for consolidation as short‑term holders harvest profits. Frequently Asked Questions How reliable is the STH‑MVRV corridor for price targets? STH‑MVRV is a useful indicator of short‑term holder profitability and common profit‑taking levels. It should be used alongside volume, realized price, and broader macro signals for a full assessment. When might Bitcoin test the $130K level? If buying pressure continues to absorb dips and no significant negative catalysts appear, Bitcoin could gradually approach the corridor’s +1σ resistance near $130K over coming weeks to months. Key Takeaways STH‑MVRV alignment : Bitcoin sits within the STH‑MVRV corridor, with the +1σ resistance near $130K. Market structure : Consistent buying on dips and sustained positioning above realized price support gradual upside. Actionable insight : Treat $130K as a defined resistance and monitor short‑term holder profitability and buy volume for signs of continuation or consolidation. Conclusion Bitcoin’s placement inside the STH‑MVRV corridor and sustained strength above average realized price suggest a measured path toward $130K, with the corridor’s +1σ acting as a likely resistance zone. Monitor short‑term holder metrics and buy‑on‑dip behavior for confirmation; COINOTAG will provide updates as conditions evolve.
