Seeking Alpha
2025-12-19 17:39:07

Bitmine Immersion Technologies: Time To Start Paying Attention

Summary Bitmine Immersion Technologies (BMNR) offers pure-play exposure to Ethereum’s tokenization and is currently priced near book value, with no debt and a small dividend. BMNR’s differentiated strategy—debt-free structure, dividend, and growth via Moonshot and MAVAN—positions it beyond a mere ETH holder. Leadership’s Wall Street and crypto pedigree uniquely bridges institutional capital and blockchain innovation, enhancing BMNR’s strategic value. Investors effectively get BMNR’s Moonshots and MAVAN segments for free, with upside tied to ETH adoption and potential for systemically critical scale. Editor's note: Seeking Alpha is proud to welcome Thomas Carroll as a new contributing analyst. You can become one too! Share your best investment idea by submitting your article for review to our editors. Get published, earn money, and unlock exclusive SA Premium access. Click here to find out more » Tokenization of Real World Assets (RWAs) is set to be one of the major themes of the next decade. Bitmine Immersion Technologies, Inc. (BMNR) is the largest ETH Digital Asset Treasury (DAT), has no debt, and pays a small dividend. Any future cash flows from their MoonShots and Made in America Validator Network (MAVAN) are not priced into the stock. BMNR’s leadership team is well positioned to be the bridge between crypto and Wall Street as they help to facilitate Ethereum’s continued adoption as Wall Street blockchain of choice. Current tailwinds from the crypto friendly political environment and Wall Street adoption could transform BMNR into a systemically critical business over the next decade. On October 14 th of 2025, Larry Fink declared that we are in the beginning phases of the “tokenization of all assets.” In November, J.P. Morgan rolled out their own deposit token utilizing Base, an Ethereum L2. This represents a complete 180 degree turn from where Larry Fink and Jamie Dimon once stood on crypto currency. Investors who are sleeping on this trend, should sit up and pay attention. The best way to play this trend is through BMNR. Currently BMNR is priced based on a multiple to net asset value (mNAV) that seems to fluctuate from 0.9-1.3. Sometimes it trades at a slight discount to their net asset value and sometimes it trades at a slight premium. Pricing BMNR this way misses the entire story. Investors should take every opportunity to buy BMNR at or below NAV. By doing so they gain exposure to ETH while receiving the MoonShots and Made In America Validator Network (MAVAN) segments of the business for free. BMNR Overview As of this writing on December 15 th , BMNR has a book value of about $13.3 billion dollars. The current market cap of the stock at right around $32 per share sits at approximately $13.7 billion so roughly a 1.03 mNAV. Purchasing around this price level is incredibly attractive because for all intents and purposes it’s at book value, which includes crypto, cash, and a $38 million dollar investment in Eightco Holdings Inc. (ORBS). Purchasers of BMNR stock at this level are getting any future cashflows from BMNR’s Made in America Validator Network (MAVAN) and MoonShots segments for free. BMNR’s business strategy has 4 lines of effort detailed below that will drive an eventual rerating of the stock. BMNR Corporate Presentation 5% of the Ethereum Network BMNR currently owns 3.2% of all ETH. Their goal is to get to 5%. Digital Asset Treasuries either use debt or equity to fund their crypto purchases. BMNR to date has used nothing but equity. They have zero debt. Crypto currencies are incredibly volatile. 80% declines are not out of the question. So, when DATs use debt, it opens the door to a scenario where the crypto currency may survive but the DAT may go extinct. By not carrying any debt, BMNR has eliminated this existential threat. As long as ETH exists, so will BMNR at this point. At 5%, BMNR would be a market stabilizing force for ETH as they take that 5% supply out of the market. It is likely that this percentage will increase over time either through BMNR’s continued purchases with staking revenue or sustained deflationary periods where the total amount of ETH decreases due to high transaction volume. Here’s an estimate of what those staking revenues might look like: ETH Market Cap: $375 Billion with each ETH value at around $3000 Value of BMNR’s ETH once they reach 5%: $18.75 billion $18.75 billion x 2.9% staking revenue: $543.75 million This should be incredibly high margin revenue, with maybe 5% of it used to cover the ongoing costs associated with their in-house staking network. This would put their gross profit from their staking operations at around $515 million dollars annually. Being a debt free and employee light company, this gives them a lot of cash to invest in MoonShots, make improvements to MAVEN, increase their dividend, continue to accumulate ETH, or even buy back stock. Community Participant There needs to be a bridge between traditional finance and crypto currency. Watch a couple speeches given by Jamie Dimon. Then watch a few speeches given by Vitalik Buterin. These guys might as well be from different planets. The leadership and backers of BMNR are uniquely positioned to be the bridge between these two worlds. Tom Lee, Chairman of BMNR, served as the chief equity strategist at JP Morgan for about 15 years before founding Fundstrat, a research and advisory firm where he first recommended that investors buy Bitcoin in 2017 . He later founded Fundstrat Capital where he successfully launched a suite of ETFs. He possesses a massive bullhorn to get his message out as a regular contributor on CNBC and welcome guest on financial podcasts. As an OG crypto supporter with high level institutional experience, Tom Lee is the embodiment of the bridge between crypto and wall street. Chi Tsang, CEO of BMNR, was a Managing Director at HSBC before founding m1720 , a venture capital firm focused on seed and A round tech investments. Like Tom, he comes equipped with institutional experience and an entrepreneurial streak. Appointing Chi as CEO shows they are taking the MoonShots segment of their business seriously. Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund took a 9% stake in BMNR but has since trimmed their position. Nevertheless, Peter Thiel is involved. When you look at the portfolio of companies that his Founders Fund has made early investments in, it looks like the who’s who of innovative companies from the past 20 years. Additionally, I don’t think it is beyond the realm of imagination to say that Thiel’s involvement may be positive from the regulatory standpoint due to his long history with David Sacks, the current “crypto czar” in the Trump administration. Other high-profile investors include Cathie Wood and Bill Miller. Bitmine MoonShots Bitmine will be launching and funding different businesses that help drive Ethereum adoption and bridge the gap between wall street and crypto. So BMNR is not just a holder of ETH. They are effectively a business incubator and venture fund with the goal of speeding up Ethereum's adoption. This could create a virtuous cycle where BMNR benefits by owning both ETH and companies the operate on Ethereum. Currently, BMNR’s corporate presentation (graphic show above) gives the impression that the allocation for MoonShots will be less than 1% of the total treasury value. How this allocation will evolve over time is yet to be seen, as are future funding levels. But if BMNR is targeting roughly a 1% allocation, I believe a reasonable assumption is that future funding for MoonShots will be more than covered by staking revenues, which are estimated to be 2.9% annually. Made In America Validator Network BMNR plans to stake their ETH, which currently provides a yield of roughly 2.9%. MAVAN is the dedicated infrastructure they will use to stake their ETH. It is not exactly clear if MAVAN will be used outside of just staking BMNR’s ETH but it does appear that BMNR is at least considering how they might be able to generate additional income by commercializing MAVAN. The company is being pretty tight lipped about this right now but has dropped hints that they are open to commercialization. Maybe they will be more forthcoming on their upcoming investor day on January 15th, 2026 but I'm not holding my breath. They way I ultimately read this situation is that their current focus is to launch MAVAN in the first half of 2026 and take some time to work out any issues that might exist. Once they are confident in their infrastructure, I believe they will market MAVAN to wall street as a place where they can bring ETH to be staked in a safe, secure, and regulatory compliant environment. This would turn BMNR’s MAVAN into something akin to an asset manager that can scale infinitely and earn subscription like revenue. It pairs BMNR’s asset heavy treasury of ETH with an asset light cash generator. Risks The largest risk facing BMNR is fairly obvious. A large price decline in ETH will inevitably result in a major price decline for BMNR. Major price declines in ETH would be caused mostly by either lack of adoption, lack of liquidity, lack of regulation, or a combination of these three factors. The second major risk with BMNR is that of dilution. BMNR is debt free. They fund their ETH purchases by issuing new shares, thus diluting the existing shareholders. REITs often behave in a similar fashion, issuing new shares to help fund real estate purchases. As a long-term shareholder, I’ve determined that I’m willing to live with these risks. When it comes to adoption, there is definitely competition in the L1 space. But so far Ethereum is dominating with 66% of total value locked being on Ethereum. Their nearest competitor is Solana with 8%. Furthermore, we can watch in real time institutions starting to adopt Ethereum. The following graphic from BMNR’s most recent Corporate Presentation shows just some of the companies that have begun to use Ethereum. BMNR's Corporate Presentation When it comes to liquidity risks, we are in a cutting cycle and the fed just announced they are going to start buying T-Bills in December so again the odds are in Ethereum’s favor here. When it comes to the regulatory environment, the conditions have never been more favorable than they are today. In the past year, the U.S. government has passed the Genuis Act regulating stable coins. The Clarity Act, which will provide a framework for tokenization of RWAs, has made its way through the House and is under review by the Senate. These pieces of legislation pave the way for the major players to start tokenizing assets on the blockchain. So, while there are absolutely risks with investing in BMNR, the odds are in my opinion, tilted in BMNR’s favor based on the current environment. Regarding dilution, at the upcoming shareholder meeting on January 15 th , 2026, shareholders will vote on whether or not to increase the number of common shares available for issue from 500 million to 50 billion. This is eye popping and I’m not sure why exactly they are asking for such a large amount. But this is worth monitoring and I’m looking forward to hearing more on this come January 15 th . Bears will say that with this they are just going to dilute the stock in perpetuity, drastically limiting shareholder return. That is possible but at the same meeting they will be voting on Tom Lee’s compensation package. Part of that package includes compensation based on share price appreciation. So, time will tell what all of this means. Before moving on from risks, I’ll briefly discuss competition from other DATs. Other ETH DATs growing and forming on some level will actually help increase BMNR’s value. The reason for that is because other ETH DATs are also large buyers and holders of ETH who are also interested in facilitating the adoption of Ethereum. New entrants and existing competitors will help to push the price of ETH higher, facilitate adoption, and maybe even reduce the volatility in the price of ETH. Where the competition will arise between ETH DATs is in their overall strategy. One of the main criticisms of the DAT space is that many of them often trade below their book value. For DATs that fail to differentiate themselves through their strategy and capital structure, this will be the case. But this represents an opportunity for stronger, differentiated DATs to effectively purchase ETH at a discount by buying up shares or M&A. BMNR, in my opinion, has differentiated itself with their debt free capital structure, dividend payment, and a growth strategy that takes them beyond being just holders of ETH. Conclusion ETH is currently in a 40% draw down from it’s all time high. In the midst of this draw down, we are seeing the world’s largest asset managers, banks, and payment processors adopt Ethereum. As the largest ETH DAT, BMNR has the right team in place to help facilitate the continued institutional adoption of Ethereum. With the tailwinds of a crypto friendly political environment and Wall Street adoption, we could wake up in 10 years with BMNR being a systemically critical business. For long term investors willing to go on that ride and stomach ETH's large draw downs, I give BMNR a strong buy rating especially when it trades at or below its NAV.

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