Markets are on edge. Bitcoin briefly knifed below $113K intraday before bouncing, as traders hedge into Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s high-stakes Jackson Hole address (Aug 21–23) . With dollar strength creeping back and leveraged longs getting rinsed, the question is simple: is this a healthy bull-market pause, or the start of a deeper Bitcoin correction driven by crypto market volatility? Bitcoin dropped below $113,000, source: Bitcoin Liquid Index The Dip explained: Why Bitcoin fell below $113K Profit-taking after recent highs After a powerful summer run toward new highs, fast money trimmed risk ahead of a pivotal macro catalyst (Powell). Futures data show today’s low near $112.8K before stabilizing, classic “sell the rumor” behavior into event risk. $500M+ liquidations across derivatives In the last 24 hours, >$500 million in crypto longs were liquidated as the drawdown accelerated-evidence that over-leveraged positioning amplified the move. (Source: CoinGlass, reported by Unchained.) Traders hedging ahead of Fed news The Jackson Hole symposium is a macro bellwether; Powell’s tone on growth and policy can reset risk appetite across assets, so crypto desks lightened up and added hedges into the event. Powell at Jackson Hole: Why it matters for crypto Market expectations of rate cuts or a dovish pivot Recent Fed coverage highlights growing market hopes for cuts, especially around the theme of Fed rate cuts Bitcoin correlation-but the speech is expected to be the defining macro event of the summer. A more hawkish-than-hoped message could pressure risk assets; a dovish lean could re-ignite momentum. Potential impact on risk assets like Bitcoin A firmer U.S. dollar into the event is a headwind for BTC in the short run; crypto rallies tend to breathe easier when the dollar softens. Today, a major dollar index ticked higher ahead of Powell. Historical Jackson Hole precedents and crypto moves While 1:1 causality is messy, prior Jackson Hole speeches that tilted hawkish have coincided with cross-asset risk-off days; the reverse is also true. Traders respect the event because forward-guidance shifts can ripple through yields, liquidity, and sentiment, making it a key focus for Jackson Hole Powell speech crypto analysis. Is this a pause or the start of a correction? Bull case Rate-cut hopes resurface if Powell acknowledges softer growth risks. Spot Bitcoin ETF complex remains an institutional on-ramp; flows have been choppy in August, but the wrapper is sticky demand over a multi-month horizon, even as traders debate whether this dip marks a temporary pause or signals a broader Bitcoin correction in August 2025. Bear case Macro uncertainty & stronger dollar into Jackson Hole. Over-leveraged longs just got tagged; another wave is possible if $110K fails. Technical levels to watch (spot/futures confluence) $110K: psychological round number + recent intraday wash area. $115K: near today’s bounce zone; reclaiming it flips short-term momentum neutral. $120K: first meaningful resistance; a daily close above suggests the dip was a shakeout. (Levels are for trading context, not advice.) What traders are watching next Powell’s tone, UST yields, and the dollar index (DXY) over the next 24–48 hours for knee-jerk direction. Altcoin performance (ETH, XRP, SOL): high-beta coins typically magnify BTC’s move post-event. October ETF catalysts: The SEC just pushed back decisions on several crypto ETFs-including Solana (Oct 16) and XRP (Oct 19) , clustering catalysts in October that could re-focus flows and volatility. Quick, actionable playbook (not financial advice) Into the speech: Expect wider spreads + wicks. If trading, reduce leverage, size with caution, and pre-define invalidation levels. If dollar spikes on hawkish vibes: BTC can probe $110K; watch for liquidation cascades and funding resets as a potential fade setup, only if momentum stalls. If dollar fades on dovish hints: A swift reclaim of $115K–$120K opens room for a squeeze; monitor ETF flow prints in the following sessions for confirmation. Get seen where it counts. Advertise in Cryptopolitan Research and reach crypto’s sharpest investors and builders.
