Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto has shared a detailed technical analysis on XRP’s long-term price trajectory, using linear regression modeling to highlight potential scenarios for the digital asset. The analysis, presented on a monthly time frame, focuses on XRP’s historical performance in relation to the regression line and evaluates possible outcomes for the next cycle. #XRP – Hit, Miss, or Over Shoot? ( $27, $18 Or $200) The chart below is based on the monthly time frame and reflects our analysis of hits, misses, and overshoots using linear regression on a log scale. This analysis is grounded in a 2-standard deviation model. Key Info -… pic.twitter.com/x6M7gEx5Jg — EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) August 27, 2025 The Role of Regression and R-Squared Value The foundation of the analysis is built on a regression model with a log scale and a two-standard deviation approach. Egrag emphasized the importance of the R-squared value, which measures the accuracy of the regression fit. The current R-squared value of the model is 0.84754, meaning that approximately 84.75 percent of XRP’s price variance can be explained by the regression line. This level of correlation suggests that the model provides a strong representation of historical price behavior and offers a meaningful framework for forward-looking estimates. Historical Context: Hits, Misses, and Overshoots According to the chart, XRP has interacted with the upper edge of the regression channel three times since 2014. On one occasion, the price significantly overshot the regression band, moving 570 percent above the expected level. Conversely, in the 2021 cycle, XRP fell short of the upper boundary by 45 percent. These deviations illustrate both the asset’s volatility and the range of potential outcomes when applying the regression framework to future projections. Application to the Current Market The analysis applies historical patterns to XRP’s present positioning within the regression model. At the time of the update, XRP’s price is trading near the midpoint of the channel. Based on prior cycles, Egrag outlined three possible scenarios for the upcoming movement. A direct hit of the regression band would place XRP around $27 . A repeat of the 2021 shortfall would lower the potential target to approximately $18. On the other hand, should an overshoot occur similar to previous instances, the model suggests a potential peak of $200 . We are on X, follow us to connect with us :- @TimesTabloid1 — TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) June 15, 2025 Egrag also noted that these projected levels are not fixed, as the regression line is trending upward over time. This implies that potential targets may continue to rise if the upward trend persists. The analysis presented by Egrag Crypto relies heavily on statistical modeling and historical precedent to frame XRP’s potential outcomes. With an R-squared value of 0.84754 supporting the model’s fit, the outlined targets of $18, $27, or $200 represent plausible scenarios within the regression framework. While acknowledging the uncertainty of exact outcomes, the analysis situates XRP within a structured technical context that highlights both conservative and highly bullish possibilities for the asset in the next market cycle. Disclaimer : This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses. Follow us on X , Facebook , Telegram , and Google News The post Analyst Outlines $27, $18 Or $200 XRP Price Targets Based on This Regression Analysis appeared first on Times Tabloid .
